Starter strategy

Gallops long shots

Horses $12–$31 at Betfair where the model's chance is 8%+ above the price after commission.

Gallops
Every runner that fits
$12–$31
chance ≥ 3%
gap ≥ 8%
Betfair
25% Kelly, ≤2% bank

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Upcoming

What fits your rules at Betfair's price right now. Bets are made 1–4 minutes before the jump, at the price then.

Updated 12:44 am

No upcoming races are priced yet. A race shows here once the market has priced every runner, usually within the hour before it jumps.

“Fits now” is at the current price and can change before the bet is made. “Close” is within a few points of every rule. Paper only, not a tip.

Record

Every race we've recorded since 13 Oct. Races before 23 Oct are replayed from the prices we recorded 2 minutes before each jump; later ones were paper-bet live. These are example rules, not tips, and not a proven advantage.

Only 83 settled bets. Results over fewer than 300 bets are mostly luck either way. Not a proven advantage.

Bank: $828.25; down $171.75 from $1,000.00
Return on stakes: −69.8%; on $246.16 staked
Bets: 83; 2 won (2% vs 8% expected)
Beat the closing price: 20%; 11 of 55 bets beat the same book's closing price
Worst dip: $171.75; peak to trough
Average price: $18.33

Bank

starting bank

Settled bets

Rockhampton R627 Oct−$2.10
#6 Craiglea Merida Lost
$26.00 · close $32.00model 5% · gap +23%stake $2.10
Hawkesbury R827 Oct−$2.93
#9 Isn't She Autumn Lost
$14.50 · close $15.00model 9% · gap +17%stake $2.93
Swan Hill R527 Oct−$2.35
#2 Maximillius Lost
$12.00 · close $12.00model 10% · gap +11%stake $2.35
Swan Hill R527 Oct−$4.07
#4 Commands Success Lost
$15.50 · close $15.50model 9% · gap +26%stake $4.07
Wangaratta R826 Oct−$5.87
#3 Hollerasaurous Lost
$14.50 · close $12.50model 10% · gap +34%stake $5.87
Queanbeyan R226 Oct−$4.27
#6 Double Rainbow Lost
$13.00 · close $14.50model 10% · gap +22%stake $4.27
Wangaratta R326 Oct−$7.22
#12 Aquafy Lost
$14.00 · close $16.00model 11% · gap +40%stake $7.22
Wangaratta R126 Oct−$3.73
#11 Obsidian Arrow Lost
$20.00 · close $20.00model 7% · gap +30%stake $3.73
Northam R1025 Oct−$4.60
#6 Return Of The Mach Lost
$15.00 · close $15.50model 9% · gap +27%stake $4.60
Northam R825 Oct−$1.66
#4 Snippy Sean Lost
$25.00 · close $25.00model 5% · gap +17%stake $1.66
Northam R525 Oct−$2.62
#15 Cool Lu Lost
$15.00 · close $14.00model 8% · gap +16%stake $2.62
Sale R925 Oct−$2.67
#9 Let It Beel Lost
$12.00 · close $12.00model 10% · gap +12%stake $2.67
Sale R825 Oct−$1.54
#13 Illyivy Lost
$20.00 · close $19.00model 6% · gap +12%stake $1.54
Northam R225 Oct−$2.77
#9 Spirit Of Dan Lost
$12.50 · close $12.00model 10% · gap +13%stake $2.77
Northam R225 Oct−$3.00
#10 Venetian Prince Lost
$30.00 · close $30.00model 5% · gap +36%stake $3.00
Port Lincoln R525 Oct+$39.71
#6 Strawberry Swing Won
$14.00 · close $14.00model 9% · gap +19%stake $3.32
Sale R625 Oct−$2.63
#12 Crank Lost
$14.00 · close $16.00model 9% · gap +15%stake $2.63
Port Macquarie R525 Oct−$2.21
#9 The Lupercal Lost
$19.00 · close $19.00model 7% · gap +17%stake $2.21
Sale R525 Oct−$1.99
#2 Slane Lost
$14.50 · close $15.00model 8% · gap +12%stake $1.99
Townsville R425 Oct−$2.78
#1 Bairuku Lost
$13.00 · close $13.00model 10% · gap +14%stake $2.78
Port Lincoln R225 Oct−$17.33
#1 Fomenter Lost
$13.00 · close $13.00model 16% · gap +91%stake $17.33
Toowoomba R724 Oct−$2.64
#7 Flirting With Fire Lost
$15.00 · close $15.00model 8% · gap +16%stake $2.64
Ascot R824 Oct−$3.33
#8 Wheely Lost
$19.50 · close $19.50model 7% · gap +26%stake $3.33
Eagle Farm R1024 Oct−$1.25
#15 Liberty Park Lost
$21.00 · close $13.00model 6% · gap +11%stake $1.25
Flemington R924 Oct−$1.75
#4 SUNSET PARK Lost
$12.50 · close $12.00model 9% · gap +8%stake $1.75
Albury R724 Oct−$6.47
#7 Babushka's Pride Lost
$21.00 · close $21.00model 8% · gap +53%stake $6.47
Flemington R824 Oct−$2.22
#9 SAINT GEORGE Lost
$28.00 · close $28.00model 5% · gap +25%stake $2.22
Flemington R624 Oct−$2.69
#10 Enxuto Lost
$21.00 · close $20.00model 6% · gap +22%stake $2.69
St Arnaud R524 Oct−$3.12
#4 SUGAR AND SWEET Lost
$14.50 · BSP $11.00model 9% · gap +17%stake $3.12
Ascot R224 Oct−$1.75
#3 FANTAXTIC Lost
$24.00 · close $21.00model 5% · gap +17%stake $1.75
Randwick R524 Oct−$1.46
#7 GRIDLOCK Lost
$24.00 · close $24.00model 5% · gap +14%stake $1.46
Morphettville R324 Oct−$1.43
#5 Babayka Lost
$26.00 · close $25.00model 5% · gap +15%stake $1.43
Flemington R424 Oct+$28.67
#9 Caddington Won
$12.50 · close $12.50model 10% · gap +13%stake $2.71
Kembla Grange R224 Oct−$1.29
#6 Geryon Lost
$20.00 · close $18.00model 6% · gap +10%stake $1.29
Yarra Valley R224 Oct−$3.69
#3 Sheer Panic Lost
$23.00 · close $23.00model 6% · gap +34%stake $3.69
Eagle Farm R224 Oct−$1.43
#9 Trusty Bandit Lost
$15.00 · close $15.00model 8% · gap +8%stake $1.43
Cranbourne R423 Oct−$2.37
#5 Mount Bona Lost
$30.00 · close $34.00model 5% · gap +29%stake $2.37
Cranbourne R323 Oct−$2.82
#4 Escarpa Lost
$23.00 · close $30.00model 6% · gap +26%stake $2.82
Scone R823 Oct−$2.09
#10 Prince Of Sepang Lost
$23.00 · close $23.00model 6% · gap +19%stake $2.09
Cranbourne R123 Oct−$5.33
#5 Super Wonder Lost
$13.00 · close $13.00model 11% · gap +27%stake $5.33
Mackay R723 Oct−$1.95
#4 Airwaves Lost
$12.50 · close $13.00model 9% · gap +9%stake $1.95
Mackay R723 Oct−$3.12
#7 Sealord Lost
$25.00 · close $25.00model 6% · gap +31%stake $3.12
Gawler R523 Oct−$2.22
#3 Kayla Kruzen Lost
$16.50 · close $16.50model 7% · gap +14%stake $2.22
Canberra R723 Oct−$3.43
#9 Brutal Eyes Lost
$18.50 · close $21.00model 7% · gap +24%stake $3.43
Canberra R623 Oct−$1.63
#11 O'hatasky Lost
$18.50 · close $22.00model 7% · gap +11%stake $1.63
Canberra R623 Oct−$1.62
#3 Clyde Mountain Lost
$30.00 · close $38.00model 4% · gap +19%stake $1.62
Canberra R523 Oct−$1.08
#4 Mctominay Lost
$26.00 · close $27.00model 5% · gap +11%stake $1.08
Canberra R523 Oct−$6.24
#6 Wonderful Mistake Lost
$13.00 · close $14.00model 11% · gap +30%stake $6.24
Canberra R523 Oct−$6.86
#2 Star Empire Lost
$29.00 · close $30.00model 7% · gap +76%stake $6.86
Mackay R323 Oct−$2.42
#9 Majestic Choice Lost
$18.50 · close $18.50model 7% · gap +17%stake $2.42
Scone R323 Oct−$2.02
#7 Grandini Lost
$12.00 · close $12.00model 10% · gap +9%stake $2.02
Scone R323 Oct−$3.93
#6 Macleay Lost
$14.50 · close $17.50model 9% · gap +21%stake $3.93
Gawler R123 Oct$0.00
#6 Crosswired Void
$29.00 · close $29.00model 5% · gap +35%stake $3.09
Scone R223 Oct−$1.69
#10 Shakespeare's Girl Lost
$14.00 · close $17.00model 9% · gap +9%stake $1.69
Mackay R123 Oct−$5.55
#5 Missile Baby Lost
$15.00 · close $15.00model 9% · gap +31%stake $5.55
Canberra R223 Oct−$1.82
#4 Nutbush Dancer Lost
$21.00 · close $21.00model 6% · gap +14%stake $1.82
Echuca R819 Oct−$1.72
#11 Queue Jumper Lost
$13.00model 9% · gap +8%stake $1.72
Echuca R519 Oct−$1.43
#10 Phoenician Lost
$17.00model 7% · gap +9%stake $1.43
Muswellbrook R119 Oct−$1.67
#2 Mission Strike Lost
$24.00model 5% · gap +15%stake $1.67
Townsville R518 Oct−$3.20
#2 Spirit Of Giving Lost
$12.00model 10% · gap +14%stake $3.20
Moe R318 Oct−$1.17
#10 Amsterdam Nights Lost
$26.00model 5% · gap +12%stake $1.17
Toowoomba R517 Oct−$3.15
#6 Viale Lost
$12.50model 10% · gap +14%stake $3.15
Leinster R617 Oct−$1.85
#5 Deal Obtained Lost
$14.50model 8% · gap +10%stake $1.85
Gold Coast R717 Oct−$1.90
#2 The Bear Lost
$13.00model 9% · gap +9%stake $1.90
Gold Coast R717 Oct−$3.48
#3 Mishani Extreme Lost
$13.50model 9% · gap +17%stake $3.48
Innisfail R617 Oct−$2.35
#2 Red Boomshakalaka Lost
$19.00model 7% · gap +16%stake $2.35
Bendigo R617 Oct−$1.89
#1 Bakersbend Lost
$24.00model 5% · gap +17%stake $1.89
Innisfail R417 Oct−$3.69
#6 Medal Lost
$12.00model 10% · gap +16%stake $3.69
Leinster R217 Oct−$2.79
#6 If I Din Havadime Lost
$25.00model 5% · gap +26%stake $2.79
Doomben R717 Oct−$2.37
#6 Amuseantes Lost
$19.00model 7% · gap +16%stake $2.37
Avoca R417 Oct−$2.40
#3 Danerich Dan Lost
$18.50model 7% · gap +16%stake $2.40
Innisfail R217 Oct−$3.03
#4 Deal An Ace Lost
$13.50model 9% · gap +14%stake $3.03
Morphettville R217 Oct−$1.10
#11 Bellentia Lost
$22.00model 5% · gap +9%stake $1.10
Doomben R217 Oct−$2.41
#4 Divine Purpose Lost
$12.50model 10% · gap +11%stake $2.41
Sunshine Coast R616 Oct−$4.55
#6 Crackenthorpe Lost
$13.00model 10% · gap +21%stake $4.55
Launceston R616 Oct−$1.37
#4 Artillery Fire Lost
$30.00model 4% · gap +15%stake $1.37
Cranbourne R116 Oct−$4.53
#9 Locard Lost
$21.00model 7% · gap +34%stake $4.53
Gatton R816 Oct−$3.61
#16 Imarealamerican Lost
$16.00model 8% · gap +20%stake $3.61
Penola R116 Oct−$2.16
#9 Tai Po Jewel Lost
$16.00model 8% · gap +12%stake $2.16
Northam R815 Oct−$0.99
#6 Girls On Fire Lost
$23.00model 5% · gap +8%stake $0.99
Warrnambool R815 Oct−$3.25
#6 Meisho Lost
$24.00model 6% · gap +28%stake $3.25
Northam R215 Oct−$1.65
#5 Mantua Lost
$15.50model 8% · gap +9%stake $1.65
Ascot R614 Oct−$3.71
#12 Gav Has Spoken Lost
$13.00model 10% · gap +16%stake $3.71
Eagle Farm R214 Oct−$1.66
#2 I Am Louie Lost
$22.00model 6% · gap +13%stake $1.66

Race	Runner	Price	Model	Stake	Result	P/L
Rockhampton R6 27 Oct	#6 Craiglea Merida	$26.00 close $32.00	5% gap +23%	$2.10	Lost	−$2.10
Hawkesbury R8 27 Oct	#9 Isn't She Autumn	$14.50 close $15.00	9% gap +17%	$2.93	Lost	−$2.93
Swan Hill R5 27 Oct	#2 Maximillius	$12.00 close $12.00	10% gap +11%	$2.35	Lost	−$2.35
Swan Hill R5 27 Oct	#4 Commands Success	$15.50 close $15.50	9% gap +26%	$4.07	Lost	−$4.07
Wangaratta R8 26 Oct	#3 Hollerasaurous	$14.50 close $12.50	10% gap +34%	$5.87	Lost	−$5.87
Queanbeyan R2 26 Oct	#6 Double Rainbow	$13.00 close $14.50	10% gap +22%	$4.27	Lost	−$4.27
Wangaratta R3 26 Oct	#12 Aquafy	$14.00 close $16.00	11% gap +40%	$7.22	Lost	−$7.22
Wangaratta R1 26 Oct	#11 Obsidian Arrow	$20.00 close $20.00	7% gap +30%	$3.73	Lost	−$3.73
Northam R10 25 Oct	#6 Return Of The Mach	$15.00 close $15.50	9% gap +27%	$4.60	Lost	−$4.60
Northam R8 25 Oct	#4 Snippy Sean	$25.00 close $25.00	5% gap +17%	$1.66	Lost	−$1.66
Northam R5 25 Oct	#15 Cool Lu	$15.00 close $14.00	8% gap +16%	$2.62	Lost	−$2.62
Sale R9 25 Oct	#9 Let It Beel	$12.00 close $12.00	10% gap +12%	$2.67	Lost	−$2.67
Sale R8 25 Oct	#13 Illyivy	$20.00 close $19.00	6% gap +12%	$1.54	Lost	−$1.54
Northam R2 25 Oct	#9 Spirit Of Dan	$12.50 close $12.00	10% gap +13%	$2.77	Lost	−$2.77
Northam R2 25 Oct	#10 Venetian Prince	$30.00 close $30.00	5% gap +36%	$3.00	Lost	−$3.00
Port Lincoln R5 25 Oct	#6 Strawberry Swing	$14.00 close $14.00	9% gap +19%	$3.32	Won	+$39.71
Sale R6 25 Oct	#12 Crank	$14.00 close $16.00	9% gap +15%	$2.63	Lost	−$2.63
Port Macquarie R5 25 Oct	#9 The Lupercal	$19.00 close $19.00	7% gap +17%	$2.21	Lost	−$2.21
Sale R5 25 Oct	#2 Slane	$14.50 close $15.00	8% gap +12%	$1.99	Lost	−$1.99
Townsville R4 25 Oct	#1 Bairuku	$13.00 close $13.00	10% gap +14%	$2.78	Lost	−$2.78
Port Lincoln R2 25 Oct	#1 Fomenter	$13.00 close $13.00	16% gap +91%	$17.33	Lost	−$17.33
Toowoomba R7 24 Oct	#7 Flirting With Fire	$15.00 close $15.00	8% gap +16%	$2.64	Lost	−$2.64
Ascot R8 24 Oct	#8 Wheely	$19.50 close $19.50	7% gap +26%	$3.33	Lost	−$3.33
Eagle Farm R10 24 Oct	#15 Liberty Park	$21.00 close $13.00	6% gap +11%	$1.25	Lost	−$1.25
Flemington R9 24 Oct	#4 SUNSET PARK	$12.50 close $12.00	9% gap +8%	$1.75	Lost	−$1.75
Albury R7 24 Oct	#7 Babushka's Pride	$21.00 close $21.00	8% gap +53%	$6.47	Lost	−$6.47
Flemington R8 24 Oct	#9 SAINT GEORGE	$28.00 close $28.00	5% gap +25%	$2.22	Lost	−$2.22
Flemington R6 24 Oct	#10 Enxuto	$21.00 close $20.00	6% gap +22%	$2.69	Lost	−$2.69
St Arnaud R5 24 Oct	#4 SUGAR AND SWEET	$14.50 BSP $11.00	9% gap +17%	$3.12	Lost	−$3.12
Ascot R2 24 Oct	#3 FANTAXTIC	$24.00 close $21.00	5% gap +17%	$1.75	Lost	−$1.75
Randwick R5 24 Oct	#7 GRIDLOCK	$24.00 close $24.00	5% gap +14%	$1.46	Lost	−$1.46
Morphettville R3 24 Oct	#5 Babayka	$26.00 close $25.00	5% gap +15%	$1.43	Lost	−$1.43
Flemington R4 24 Oct	#9 Caddington	$12.50 close $12.50	10% gap +13%	$2.71	Won	+$28.67
Kembla Grange R2 24 Oct	#6 Geryon	$20.00 close $18.00	6% gap +10%	$1.29	Lost	−$1.29
Yarra Valley R2 24 Oct	#3 Sheer Panic	$23.00 close $23.00	6% gap +34%	$3.69	Lost	−$3.69
Eagle Farm R2 24 Oct	#9 Trusty Bandit	$15.00 close $15.00	8% gap +8%	$1.43	Lost	−$1.43
Cranbourne R4 23 Oct	#5 Mount Bona	$30.00 close $34.00	5% gap +29%	$2.37	Lost	−$2.37
Cranbourne R3 23 Oct	#4 Escarpa	$23.00 close $30.00	6% gap +26%	$2.82	Lost	−$2.82
Scone R8 23 Oct	#10 Prince Of Sepang	$23.00 close $23.00	6% gap +19%	$2.09	Lost	−$2.09
Cranbourne R1 23 Oct	#5 Super Wonder	$13.00 close $13.00	11% gap +27%	$5.33	Lost	−$5.33
Mackay R7 23 Oct	#4 Airwaves	$12.50 close $13.00	9% gap +9%	$1.95	Lost	−$1.95
Mackay R7 23 Oct	#7 Sealord	$25.00 close $25.00	6% gap +31%	$3.12	Lost	−$3.12
Gawler R5 23 Oct	#3 Kayla Kruzen	$16.50 close $16.50	7% gap +14%	$2.22	Lost	−$2.22
Canberra R7 23 Oct	#9 Brutal Eyes	$18.50 close $21.00	7% gap +24%	$3.43	Lost	−$3.43
Canberra R6 23 Oct	#11 O'hatasky	$18.50 close $22.00	7% gap +11%	$1.63	Lost	−$1.63
Canberra R6 23 Oct	#3 Clyde Mountain	$30.00 close $38.00	4% gap +19%	$1.62	Lost	−$1.62
Canberra R5 23 Oct	#4 Mctominay	$26.00 close $27.00	5% gap +11%	$1.08	Lost	−$1.08
Canberra R5 23 Oct	#6 Wonderful Mistake	$13.00 close $14.00	11% gap +30%	$6.24	Lost	−$6.24
Canberra R5 23 Oct	#2 Star Empire	$29.00 close $30.00	7% gap +76%	$6.86	Lost	−$6.86
Mackay R3 23 Oct	#9 Majestic Choice	$18.50 close $18.50	7% gap +17%	$2.42	Lost	−$2.42
Scone R3 23 Oct	#7 Grandini	$12.00 close $12.00	10% gap +9%	$2.02	Lost	−$2.02
Scone R3 23 Oct	#6 Macleay	$14.50 close $17.50	9% gap +21%	$3.93	Lost	−$3.93
Gawler R1 23 Oct	#6 Crosswired	$29.00 close $29.00	5% gap +35%	$3.09	Void	$0.00
Scone R2 23 Oct	#10 Shakespeare's Girl	$14.00 close $17.00	9% gap +9%	$1.69	Lost	−$1.69
Mackay R1 23 Oct	#5 Missile Baby	$15.00 close $15.00	9% gap +31%	$5.55	Lost	−$5.55
Canberra R2 23 Oct	#4 Nutbush Dancer	$21.00 close $21.00	6% gap +14%	$1.82	Lost	−$1.82
Echuca R8 19 Oct	#11 Queue Jumper	$13.00	9% gap +8%	$1.72	Lost	−$1.72
Echuca R5 19 Oct	#10 Phoenician	$17.00	7% gap +9%	$1.43	Lost	−$1.43
Muswellbrook R1 19 Oct	#2 Mission Strike	$24.00	5% gap +15%	$1.67	Lost	−$1.67
Townsville R5 18 Oct	#2 Spirit Of Giving	$12.00	10% gap +14%	$3.20	Lost	−$3.20
Moe R3 18 Oct	#10 Amsterdam Nights	$26.00	5% gap +12%	$1.17	Lost	−$1.17
Toowoomba R5 17 Oct	#6 Viale	$12.50	10% gap +14%	$3.15	Lost	−$3.15
Leinster R6 17 Oct	#5 Deal Obtained	$14.50	8% gap +10%	$1.85	Lost	−$1.85
Gold Coast R7 17 Oct	#2 The Bear	$13.00	9% gap +9%	$1.90	Lost	−$1.90
Gold Coast R7 17 Oct	#3 Mishani Extreme	$13.50	9% gap +17%	$3.48	Lost	−$3.48
Innisfail R6 17 Oct	#2 Red Boomshakalaka	$19.00	7% gap +16%	$2.35	Lost	−$2.35
Bendigo R6 17 Oct	#1 Bakersbend	$24.00	5% gap +17%	$1.89	Lost	−$1.89
Innisfail R4 17 Oct	#6 Medal	$12.00	10% gap +16%	$3.69	Lost	−$3.69
Leinster R2 17 Oct	#6 If I Din Havadime	$25.00	5% gap +26%	$2.79	Lost	−$2.79
Doomben R7 17 Oct	#6 Amuseantes	$19.00	7% gap +16%	$2.37	Lost	−$2.37
Avoca R4 17 Oct	#3 Danerich Dan	$18.50	7% gap +16%	$2.40	Lost	−$2.40
Innisfail R2 17 Oct	#4 Deal An Ace	$13.50	9% gap +14%	$3.03	Lost	−$3.03
Morphettville R2 17 Oct	#11 Bellentia	$22.00	5% gap +9%	$1.10	Lost	−$1.10
Doomben R2 17 Oct	#4 Divine Purpose	$12.50	10% gap +11%	$2.41	Lost	−$2.41
Sunshine Coast R6 16 Oct	#6 Crackenthorpe	$13.00	10% gap +21%	$4.55	Lost	−$4.55
Launceston R6 16 Oct	#4 Artillery Fire	$30.00	4% gap +15%	$1.37	Lost	−$1.37
Cranbourne R1 16 Oct	#9 Locard	$21.00	7% gap +34%	$4.53	Lost	−$4.53
Gatton R8 16 Oct	#16 Imarealamerican	$16.00	8% gap +20%	$3.61	Lost	−$3.61
Penola R1 16 Oct	#9 Tai Po Jewel	$16.00	8% gap +12%	$2.16	Lost	−$2.16
Northam R8 15 Oct	#6 Girls On Fire	$23.00	5% gap +8%	$0.99	Lost	−$0.99
Warrnambool R8 15 Oct	#6 Meisho	$24.00	6% gap +28%	$3.25	Lost	−$3.25
Northam R2 15 Oct	#5 Mantua	$15.50	8% gap +9%	$1.65	Lost	−$1.65
Ascot R6 14 Oct	#12 Gav Has Spoken	$13.00	10% gap +16%	$3.71	Lost	−$3.71
Eagle Farm R2 14 Oct	#2 I Am Louie	$22.00	6% gap +13%	$1.66	Lost	−$1.66

Paper results: no money is placed. Bets are recorded at real prices 1–4 minutes before the jump and settled on the result; Betfair bets pay commission on winnings. A “gap” is the model's estimate against the price, not a proven advantage, and paper results don't predict future results. 18+. Gamble responsibly: Gambling Help Online 1800 858 858.