Value across today's races
Every race still to jump today, rated. This board shows only runners where the model's price is meaningfully longer than the market's — no roughies, no 50/1 hopefuls. Tune the max price and minimum edge below.
| Race | Selection | Model | Fair | Price | Edge | Stake | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond R1 5:55 pm · jumps 2h 39m · 401m | 5Diabolical Lad Lifts the model's rating (+0.47) | 24% | $4.20 | $ | +18% | $44.70 → $223.50 | |
| Richmond R2 6:17 pm · jumps 3h 1m · 320m | 1Blue Academy Lifts the model's rating (+0.51) | 18% | $5.50 | $ | +15% | $27.90 → $181.35 | |
| Gawler R1 6:05 pm · jumps 2h 49m · 400m | 5El Reytop pick Lifts the model's rating (+0.59) | 29% | $3.40 | $ | +11% | $38.10 → $144.78 | |
| Temora R5 6:54 pm · jumps 3h 38m · 457m | 5Ball Of Smoke Lifts the model's rating (+0.20) | 13% | $7.50 | $ | +7% | $9.90 → $79.20 | |
| Richmond R7 8:04 pm · jumps 4h 48m · 401m | 2Exemplary Lifts the model's rating (+0.14) | 12% | $8.00 | $ | +6% | $8.20 → $69.70 | |
| Total outlay | $128.80 | ||||||
Value = the model's win probability implies a price longer than what's on offer, after the bookmaker's margin. The Place line under an each-way play is the same comparison for the place market — model place chance, fair place price, the live bookmaker place price and the edge on it. Stakes are a fractional-Kelly calculation on that edge, capped at 5% of your bankroll. These are statistical estimates that are often wrong — not tips, not advice. Gamble responsibly. Generated 3:16 pm.
Not seeing anything? Value comes and goes as the market moves, and this only covers races with live prices. Full cards are on the racing page.