Results
Every race, with the model's top pick
Each race the site rated, the runner the model rated highest 1–4 minutes before the jump, and what actually won. Most top picks lose: a 35% chance loses nearly two times in three.
12 of 40 top picks won (30%)
The model expected about 13 (33%). Long-run accuracy
HorshamVIC
2 of 8 top picks won- R11:35 pmTop pick9Courting51% · $1.752ndWinner10Little Ally Bamamodel's #2 · 30%
- R22:10 pmTop pick1Best Terms51% · $1.753rdWinner6Blue Valentinemodel's #4 · 9%
- R32:45 pmTop pick7Cosmic Voyage41% · $1.952ndWinner12Strength Withinmodel's #2 · 33%
- R43:20 pmTop pick7Gina's A Star28% · $3.104thWinner3Milos Filosmodel's #2 · 26%
- R53:55 pmTop pick2Bazzar32% · $2.50 WonWinner2Bazzarmodel's #1 · 32%
- R64:30 pmTop pick6Col Klink24% · $4.005thWinner10Naraghimodel's #12 · 3%
- R75:05 pmTop pick1The Pendragon30% · $3.00 WonWinner1The Pendragonmodel's #1 · 30%
- R85:40 pmTop pick10Surfy Pete25% · $3.609thWinner4Octane Reignmodel's #2 · 18%
NowraNSW
3 of 6 top picks won- R11:45 pmTop pick8Lady Mariana44% · $1.954thWinner6Rebel Terramodel's #2 · 17%
- R22:20 pmTop pick2Regor30% · $3.10 WonWinner2Regormodel's #1 · 30%
- R43:30 pmTop pick2Snap Decision22% · $3.703rdWinner10Splendid Magnusmodel's #7 · 5%
- R54:05 pmTop pick4Alabama Showdown49% · $1.80 WonWinner4Alabama Showdownmodel's #1 · 49%
- R64:40 pmTop pick8Baylie's Folly33% · $2.70 WonWinner8Baylie's Follymodel's #1 · 33%
- R75:15 pmTop pick6Scoop The Pool44% · $1.952ndWinner13Tiger Turfmodel's #2 · 34%
MoeVIC
1 of 6 top picks won- R11:50 pmTop pick3Mongolian Hero29% · $3.404thWinner4Nickibimodel's #8 · 6%
- R22:25 pmTop pick10Go Maggie Mae48% · $1.80 WonWinner10Go Maggie Maemodel's #1 · 48%
- R33:00 pmTop pick5The Minstrel Boy35% · $2.605thWinner7I'mfallinforyoumodel's #2 · 16%
- R43:35 pmTop pick4Olney23% · $3.804thWinner8Frank Expressmodel's #6 · 8%
- R54:10 pmTop pick2Irresistible Sir22% · $4.204thWinner11Squazeemotomodel's #4 · 13%
- R64:45 pmTop pick8Noble Style23% · $3.805thWinner7Elly Deemodel's #8 · 7%
TownsvilleQLD
1 of 7 top picks won- R11:55 pmTop pick3Far And Wide48% · $1.854thWinner4Stylish Diamondmodel's #3 · 8%
- R22:30 pmTop pick4Moonya Lad24% · $3.703rdWinner6Towers Hillmodel's #6 · 6%
- R33:05 pmTop pick3Hot Digity Boom33% · $2.604thWinner5Colleanomodel's #2 · 24%
- R54:15 pmTop pick7Spiritof The Ocean35% · $2.602ndWinner6Exceedingly Brazenmodel's #3 · 14%
- R64:50 pmTop pick4Toranaga20% · $4.404thWinner5Brave Agendamodel's #6 · 7%
- R75:25 pmTop pick10Stylish Rosie30% · $2.50 WonWinner10Stylish Rosiemodel's #1 · 30%
- R86:00 pmTop pick13Super Freeze26% · $3.603rdWinner5Cifonellimodel's #2 · 22%
LismoreNSW
3 of 7 top picks won- R12:05 pmTop pick1Sunset Trail34% · $2.45 WonWinner1Sunset Trailmodel's #1 · 34%
- R22:40 pmTop pick5Zweigelt36% · $2.452ndWinner6Bills Angelmodel's #2 · 33%
- R33:15 pmTop pick3Private Max30% · $2.602ndWinner9Sparkling Bettymodel's #2 · 22%
- R43:50 pmTop pick9Captain Blood31% · $3.305thWinner11The Epic Journeymodel's #4 · 14%
- R54:25 pmTop pick8Secret Rose20% · $4.408thWinner7Lennystarmodel's #6 · 9%
- R65:00 pmTop pick5Toroness25% · $3.20 WonWinner5Toronessmodel's #1 · 25%
- R75:35 pmTop pick2Zouthur25% · $4.20 WonWinner2Zouthurmodel's #1 · 25%
KalgoorlieWA
2 of 6 top picks won- R15:10 pmTop pick3Budino39% · $2.15 WonWinner3Budinomodel's #1 · 39%
- R25:45 pmTop pick2Hello Veneta39% · $2.405thWinner3Couldabeenahandbagmodel's #4 · 14%
- R36:20 pmTop pick4Alotofbanter27% · $3.40 WonWinner4Alotofbantermodel's #1 · 27%
- R47:00 pmTop pick2Lanta38% · $2.258thWinner5Moriahmodel's #4 · 7%
- R57:40 pmTop pick3Door Buster26% · $3.006thWinner1Just Famousmodel's #3 · 22%
- R68:15 pmTop pick2Stylin'35% · $2.406thWinner4Please Miztermodel's #2 · 22%
Chances are the ones the race card showed 1–4 minutes before the jump; prices are Sportsbet's at that time. Statistical estimates, not tips. 18+. Gamble responsibly: Gambling Help Online 1800 858 858.
